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Events
Databanks
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Argentina databank May 13 -
Brazil Economics databank Apr 14
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Central America databank May 1
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Chile databank Apr 7
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China databank Mar 21
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Colombia databank May 12
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Dominican Republic databank Apr 28
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Ecuador databank Apr 22
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Gulf Countries databank May 16
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Hungary databank Apr 22
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India databank Apr 28
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Mexico databank May 12
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Panama databank May 13
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Peru databank Apr 28
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Philippines databank May 8
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Poland databank Apr 29
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Russia Economics databank May 12
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South Africa databank May 6
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Turkey databank Apr 24
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Ukraine databank May 12
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Venezuela databank May 5
NEWS FLASH
WEBINAR - LATIN AMERICA: FISCAL PRESSURES AND POLITICAL SHIFTS...
COUNTRY INSIGHTS
Current wage growth is too much for inflation, too little for healthy economic growth
HUNGARY · In Brief · 01 Aug 2021
We quite rarely report on wage growth separately, but this time around it seems really important, from the point of view of growth and inflation prospects, and of government and central bank policy.The news is that net (after-tax) wage growth for the average full-time employee was 8.2% yoy in May...
Deepening relationship between China and Ukraine
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 31 Jul 2021
In June 2021 Kyiv appended its signature to a statement condemning China for the persecution of the Uyghur ethnic minority. Over 40 nations had signed the statement. The document was to be presented to the UN Human Rights Commission at Geneva and demanded an investigation into the detention witho...
Russian banks raising their interest rates
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 30 Jul 2021
After the Central Bank of Russia (CBR) raised its key interest rate in July 2021 commercial banks have followed suit. Some raised their rates even before CBR - these included Gazprombank, Rosbank and Promsvyazbank. Some banks raised the interest rate for depositors.Raiffeisen and VTB said they do...
The rise of Indonesian exports
INDONESIA · Report · 30 Jul 2021
Indonesia is in the midst of fighting the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic. The number of new infection cases increased exponentially in the last week of June and the early weeks of July 2021. At the same time the mortality rate was also very high. This situation was worse than the first semester ...
Peru Webinar: Reviewing the next government's policies
PERU · Report · 30 Jul 2021
Visit our Events Calendar to watch the replay of our latest Peru Webinar featuring Dr. Alfredo Thorne. Following the inauguration, Dr. Thorne discusses the new president's political and economic plans and how new leadership will impact Peru.
Bolsonaro did not present evidence of electoral fraud in 2014 during his livestream, the STF published a video criticizing Bolsonaro’s claims that the Court stopped the government from dealing with the pandemic, and Congress returns to work next week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 30 Jul 2021
Bolsonaro did not have proof of electoral fraud but claimed there are clear indicators of fraud. The president of the STF called the leaders of the three branches for a meeting to discuss the political tension. The House should vote on the income tax reform proposal next week, and the Senate shou...
GULF WEEKLY: Tunisia crisis stirs Gulf divisions, Omani unemployment falls, IMF warns Bahrain
GULF COUNTRIES · Report · 30 Jul 2021
A skimmable summary overlaid with our analysis and links. Headlines: * Tunisia’s president has made a power grab, dismissing the prime minister, closing parliament and launching a probe of Islamist party Ennahda, which has had close relations with Qatar. * The Tunisian crisis risks reopening ...
Delta watch 2: Lockdown
PHILIPPINES · In Brief · 30 Jul 2021
After announcing yesterday that there will be no change in Metro Manila’s quarantine status for the next two weeks, government today decided for a more aggressive response against rising infections in the capital, returning Metro Manila to strict lockdown for two weeks from August 6 to 20. Daily ...
Recovery under uncertainty
CENTRAL AMERICA · Report · 29 Jul 2021
The Costa Rican economy showed better than expected results in H1. Faster recovery of the country’s main trading partners helped improve exports. H1 fiscal figures were also favorable. The next 18 months will be crucial. The first review of the SBA agreement with the IMF will be in October 2021, ...
Vaccination is improving, the economy remains on a slow path to recovery, and the dialogue on public pension reform is going nowhere
PANAMA · Report · 29 Jul 2021
The total number of vaccines already shipped to the country is 3 million (for a population of 4.3 million inhabitants) and will reach 9.3 million before the end of the year (7.1 million Pfizer, 1.1 million Astra Zeneca, and 1.1 million the Covax system). This new environment may help the health a...
Russian macro: industry and construction to drive economic growth in 2021
RUSSIA ECONOMICS · Report · 29 Jul 2021
The Russian economic recovery was broad-based in July. Economic growth gathered pace not only in industry, as was published last week, but also in other segments of the economy. The output of the five basic sectors (a monthly proxy for GDP, a kind of a flash estimate) was up y-o-y by 12.0% in Jun...
Zelensky purges top officials
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 29 Jul 2021
On July 27 President Zelensky fired the Commander in Chief of the Military. The president said that General Khomchak had caused misunderstandings. His replacement, Valery Zalushny, is widely well regarded.Khomchak has been given a role on the National Security and Defense Council. Three other sen...
Bolsonaro should present evidence of electoral fraud in 2014 during his livestream tonight, the government’s new social program should begin in November, and Bruno Bianco appointed as Executive Secretary of the Ministry of Employment
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 29 Jul 2021
Deputy Arthur Lira believes in the current electronic system but does not see a problem with instituting an auditing system. Minister Paulo Guedes stated that the new social program will comply with the spending ceiling. Deputy Celso Sabino should present a new report on the bill that deals with ...
Inflation Report: the CBRT is playing the same game
TURKEY · In Brief · 29 Jul 2021
The economics author is traveling today and will be boarding his flight shortly, so what we have below is first impressions from today’s Inflation Report. If need be, we will follow up with a more detailed analysis.First off, as we have expected, the CBRT revised the yearend forecast upward – bec...
The IMF mission to arrive in September, Kristalina Georgieva says
UKRAINE · In Brief · 29 Jul 2021
Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskiy had a phone call with Managing Director of the IMF Kristalina Georgieva yesterday on July 28. Kristalina Georgieva recognized “sound economic progress made under the IMF program” and mentioned the IMF mission arriving in September. The President Office ment...