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Events
Databanks
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Argentina databank May 13 -
Brazil Economics databank Apr 14
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Central America databank May 1
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Chile databank Apr 7
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China databank Mar 21
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Colombia databank May 12
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Dominican Republic databank Apr 28
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Ecuador databank Apr 22
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Gulf Countries databank May 9
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Hungary databank Apr 22
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India databank Apr 28
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Mexico databank May 12
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Panama databank May 13
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Peru databank Apr 28
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Philippines databank May 8
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Poland databank Apr 29
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Russia Economics databank May 12
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South Africa databank May 6
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Turkey databank Apr 24
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Ukraine databank May 12
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Venezuela databank May 5
NEWS FLASH
WEBINAR - LATIN AMERICA: FISCAL PRESSURES AND POLITICAL SHIFTS...
COUNTRY INSIGHTS
OMAN: Budget discloses detailed projections until 2025 but takes oil spending off-budget
GULF COUNTRIES · Report · 08 Jan 2021 · 3 responses
* The new fiscal projections until 2025 seem to be derived from the existing Tawazun plan. * However, oil expenditure has been taken off-budget and some other minor changes were made. * More detailed disclosures show the budgeted path for subsidy reform and non-oil revenue growth. * The oil as...
Azerbaijan building airport in recovered territory
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 08 Jan 2021
On January 5 it was announced that a new airport will be built in Fuzuli. This district was only retaken from Armenia 2 months ago. There remains much demining to be done. The government is keen to keep reminding people of the victory of 2020.The liberated City of Susa is to be the cultural capit...
Serbia starts using Russian vaccine
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 08 Jan 2021
On January 6 Serbia commenced vaccinating people with Sputnik V. Politicians are the first to receive it even if they are not high risk. The purpose of this is to reassure the public that the vaccine is safe. Belarus is the only other country in Europe using Sputnik. The WHO and the European Medi...
US accuses Russia of data breach
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 08 Jan 2021
On January 6 Washington said that Moscow perpetrated the SolarWinds attack. The breach affected government and private sector security. Trump said it was China. However, other cabinet members blame Russia.The FBI, DNI, NSA and Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency all blamed Russia. It...
GULF WEEKLY: Qatar reconciliation, Saudi oil cut, Kuwaiti cabinet may resign, Omani budget
GULF COUNTRIES · Report · 08 Jan 2021 · 1 response
A skimmable summary of key developments overlaid with our analysis and links to further information. Headlines include: * OPEC agreed to hold production largely flat for two months, then Saudi voluntarily cut by 1m b/d. * The cut pushed oil to a post-Covid high. Unrelatedly, the Asian LNG spo...
Should we worry about inflation?
PHILIPPINES · In Brief · 08 Jan 2021
For the last two months of 2020, inflation had surprised on the upside. Although the headline rate still looked rather benign at 3.5% in December, the overall price level in fact increased by 1.9% between October and December, reflecting month-on-month inflation rates of 1.1% in November and 0.9%...
November industry and retail sales data reflects only moderate 2nd wave lockdown impact
HUNGARY · In Brief · 08 Jan 2021
StatOffice (KSH) statements on industrial output this morning and on retail sales yesterday, both on November data, have justified analyst beliefs, including ours of course, that the initial negative impact of the 2nd wave Covid lockdown would be significantly smaller than the impact of the 1st w...
Russia’s pandemic/political update: hoping for a slightly better life in 2021
RUSSIA ECONOMICS · Report · 06 Jan 2021
Unsurprisingly, the coronavirus, the respective restrictions and the measures undertaken by the authorities were perceived as the most important developments in 2020. After reaching a peak on December 24 (nearly 30K infected) Russia’s number of daily Covid-19 cases has started to subside graduall...
US sanctions force Norwegian company out of Nord Stream 2
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 06 Jan 2021
On January 4 DNV GL announced that it will no longer provide verification services for the pipeline. The company provided technical and safety certificates. The company had been working on the pipeline for 5 years. It will be hard to find a company to replace this one.The US passed a law called P...
General government deficit at 4.6% of GDP in January-September 2020
HUNGARY · In Brief · 06 Jan 2021
This was reported yesterday, as the main fiscal indicator, an annualized number compiled on accrual basis, following the EU's ESA-2010 government finance statistics methodology. In a quarterly breakdown, there was a 1.2% of GDP deficit in Q1, followed by 8.4% in Q2 and 4.1% in Q3. The quarterly p...
OPEC + agreement leads to Russia increasing oil output.
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 06 Jan 2021
On January 5 it was announced that oil production will be ramped up a little in March in Russia and Kazakhstan. These two countries are not OPEC members but they cooperate with it through a forum called OPEC+. The amount of crude oil withdrawn from the market will be reduced from 7.2 million BPD ...
Second COVID-19 wave smacks economic recovery
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC · Forecast · 06 Jan 2021
The second wave of COVID-19 has overshadowed expectations for 2021 consolidation of the economic recovery formed after the announcement of the availability of vaccines, and the prospects for extensive worldwide vaccination campaigns. In December it grew evident that the country was entering a sec...
Minfin’s borrowing program remains ambitious
RUSSIA ECONOMICS · In Brief · 06 Jan 2021
Despite better-than-expected execution of the borrowing program in 2020, Russia’s Finance Ministry plans to keep a relatively high pace of OFZ issuance in 1Q21, which is comparable with the results achieved in the second and third quarters of 2020. To remind, it managed to raise R5.3 trln on the ...
Russia to build a pipeline to Pakistan
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 05 Jan 2021
On January 4 it was announced by the Pakistani Prime Minister's Office that Pakistan and Russia shall build a 1 100 km LNG pipeline and gas terminals. Construction is due to commence in July 2021. Pakistan will own at least 51% of the pipeline and Russia the rest.Sui Northern Gas co and Sui North...
Gulf rift resolution expected tomorrow
GULF COUNTRIES · In Brief · 04 Jan 2021
Kuwait's foreign minister has just announced (6.51pm GMT / 1.51pm EST) that Saudi Arabia will reopen its land and air borders to Qatar this evening, the day before it hosts the GCC Summit (Kuna-Arabic). We had heard reports a few hours earlier that officials at the border had been instructed to p...