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Events
Databanks
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Argentina databank Jul 2
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Brazil Economics databank Jun 16
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Central America databank Jun 27
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Chile databank May 27
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China databank Mar 21
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Colombia databank Jun 5
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Dominican Republic databank Jun 18
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Ecuador databank Jun 20
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Gulf Countries databank Jun 27
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Hungary databank Jun 23
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India databank Jun 26
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Mexico databank Jul 1
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Panama databank May 13
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Peru databank Jun 27
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Philippines databank Jun 6
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Poland databank Apr 29
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Russia Economics databank Jun 16
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South Africa databank Jun 9
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Turkey databank Apr 24
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Ukraine databank May 12
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Venezuela databank Jun 4
NEWS FLASH
UPCOMING WEBINAR - CAUCASUS AND CENTRAL ASIA: POLITICAL PASSIONS IN THE...
COUNTRY INSIGHTS
An upward 2021-2022 GDP revision by Rosstat
RUSSIA ECONOMICS · In Brief · 02 Jan 2024
At the very end of 2023, Rosstat announced it had revised some historical data, such as GDP accounts for 2021 and 2022. Having slightly reappraised the nominal accounts, the agency also changed growth numbers. The new data suggest that in 2021, the Russian GDP grew by 5.9% (5.6% previously), and ...
Essential CIS Politics: January 2024
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 02 Jan 2024
* Putin stated he is running for re-election against 15 other candidates. * Ukraine is receiving less and less aid from its allies, which jeopardizes its war effort. * The EU began accession talks with Ukraine, but Hungary vetoed EU aid. * A major strike by oil logistics wo...
Rates reduced as inflation moderates
ISRAEL · In Brief · 01 Jan 2024
Rates reduced as inflation moderates The BOI cut rates by 0.25% to 4.5% due to the inflation deceleration (which is expected to continue into Q124) as well as lower inflation expectations. This trend (supported by shekel appreciation) effectively raises real rates and allows for lower rates, desp...
Armenia and Azerbaijan discuss peace
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 01 Jan 2024
On December 26 the Prime Minister of Armenia met the Azeri President in St Petersburg. It was at the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) Summit. Both countries are members of the CIS along with other former Soviet countries. Baku and Yerevan have exchanged 7 draft agreements on permanent pea...
2024 will begin without changes in the monetary policy interest rate
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC · In Brief · 31 Dec 2023
The monetary policy interest rate will remain at 7.00% annually in the month of January 2024, while the rate of the permanent liquidity expansion facility (1-day Repos) will continue at 7.50% annually and the interest-bearing deposit rate (Overnight) will remain at 5.50% annually. The decision wa...
Major Russian aerial attacks on Ukraine
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 29 Dec 2023
In the early hours of December 29 Kyiv, Lviv, Odessa, Dnipro, Kharkiv and other cities were hit by drones and missiles. Ukraine claimed the attacks targeted infrastructure and not military positions. They say a maternity hospital was hit. Cruise, hypersonic and ballistic missiles were fired. At l...
Ukraine claims to have sunk Russian warship
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 28 Dec 2023
On December 27 Kyiv said the landing ship Novocherkassk was sunk by Ukrainian jets in the Russian port of Feodosia. Russia stated that the ship was damaged but did not state there were any casualties. A Russian Telegram channel said there were 77 sailors aboard the ship at the time of the attack....
Maduro's New Year's resolutions
VENEZUELA · Report · 28 Dec 2023
On the surface, Nicolás Maduro is closing 2023 with a positive balance. He overcame challenging situations and looks ready to face 2024 with better control of the playing field. But next year, he must achieve something his political skill does not guarantee: to enthuse Venezuelans to obtain a cre...
An improving trade balance with China
INDONESIA · Report · 28 Dec 2023
For many years, China ranked first in trade with Indonesia compared to Indonesia's trade with the rest of the world. Therefore, anything that happened in China might affect Indonesia. That is why it is interesting to watch the trade balance between Indonesia and China at a time when there has bee...
Post-COVID fatigue
CHILE · Report · 28 Dec 2023 · 1 response
The latest Central Bank Monetary Policy Report offers a surprisingly positive outlook for economic activity. But, in our view, activity remains stagnant. The only good news comes from the construction sector, which appears to be at a potential turning point, after hitting historical lows. The ind...
Managing debt will be a major issue for Beijing in 2024
CHINA FINANCIAL · Report · 28 Dec 2023
Special points to highlight in this report: * The problem of what to do with the debt will probably dominate economic policy-making discussions in Beijing in 2024. As of now, there seems to be a split between economists, who want to address the quality of economic activity, and non-economists,...
EU payments have started to flow to Hungary
HUNGARY · In Brief · 28 Dec 2023 · 1 response
When the EU Commission unblocked Hungary's access to €10.2bn of cohesion policy funds on December 13, the key question became whether they would actually start to pay out the affected funds according to the regular procedure or they would start postponing and delaying actual transfers, waiting fo...
Seven predictions for China in 2024
CHINA ADVISORY · Report · 28 Dec 2023
In this report, I give my sometimes “out-of-the box” predictions for China in 2024. These include views on US-China relations, the upcoming Taiwan elections and the importance of the US dollar to China.
Kazakhstan’s budgetary performance markedly improves in November amid a one-off effect
KAZAKHSTAN · In Brief · 28 Dec 2023
A few days ago, the country’s Ministry of Finance published detailed budgetary 11M23 statistics, and these data were not immune from surprises. Previously, we repeatedly broached these issues and mentioned that a weaker tenge was required to finance all the amended expenditures. Tax collection wa...
Japan giving air defense to Ukraine
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 28 Dec 2023
On December 28 a Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman fulminated against the decision, saying there will be repercussions. On December 22 Japan made the announcement to donate Patriot missiles to the US, which in turn allows the US to donate other Patriot missiles to Ukraine. Japanese law prohibi...