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​Assasination of ambassador is a picture worth thousand words
TURKEY · In Brief · 19 Dec 2016

A rapid response team police officer, Mr. Mevlut Altintas, shot Russian ambassador in Turkey on Monday night during an art exhibit, shouting Quranic verses, and claiming to avenge the atrocities committed in Aleppo. He was subsequently shot dead by the police arriving at the scene. This morning, ...

Policies for 2017 Are Taking Concrete Shape
HUNGARY · Report · 19 Dec 2016

Having achieved a deal with employers and trade unions on deep cuts in the social contribution tax (SCT) and the corporate tax, to compensate enterprises for sharp increases in the statutory minimum wage, the government has set the main theme for economic policies in 2017-2018. The agreement incl...

Week of December 19
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 19 Dec 2016

According to the Ministry of Planning, the government should publish almost all the administrative acts in the economic stimulus package announced last week. Changes may also be made to labor regulations. On Monday and Tuesday, the Lower House will try to vote on the renegotiation of state debt w...

Consequences of Privatbank Nationalization: Provisional Thoughts
UKRAINE · In Brief · 19 Dec 2016

The main risk of Privatbank nationalization was in potential adverse reaction of the bank owners. The Central bank officials have been thoroughly working with so called “red button scenario” which presumed potential damage to the datasets of clients. It was the main concern of state officials in ...

Cabinet Decides on Privatbank Nationalization
UKRAINE · In Brief · 18 Dec 2016

Today the Cabinet approved nationalization of the largest private bank (20 million clients) Privatbank, according to the Cabinet web-site. The bank was previously owned by oligarch Igor Kolomoyskiy. Press-briefing on this issue is scheduled for Monday morning. Some rumors tell that ex-Finance Min...

Political and Economic Update
TURKEY · Report · 18 Dec 2016

The second major attack in as many weeks suggests that terror might become a leading political risk for Turkey in 2017. We discuss the implications, which go beyond economics to ethnic polarization and a deeper military involvement in Syria. The text of the presidential reform bill contains po...

Negative ratings on the rise for the Temer administration
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 16 Dec 2016

The CNI/Ibope poll released on Friday shows that negative evaluations of the Temer administration have increased. “Bad/Very Bad” evaluations increased 7 points compared to the previous poll while positive ratings (“Great/Good”) and regular evaluations remained practically the same (see table below).

Temer administration
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 15 Dec 2016

​Government announces economic stimulus measures In an attempt to tackle the economic recession and to respond to the political pressure of the last few weeks, the government announced a set of 10 measures to increase productivity in the private sector, reduce bureaucracy, and stimulate economic...

The December 13 decline in foreign reserves
VENEZUELA · In Brief · 15 Dec 2016

International reserves fell by $800 million on December 13. We believe this reflects a payment to Gold Reserve, already postponed twice. The most recent agreement between the company and the government set payments totaling $820 million to be made between December 15 and January 31, namely: $300 ...

Pension Reform
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 15 Dec 2016

The Constitution and Justice Committee of the Lower House approved the admissibility of the Pension Reform proposal. There were 31 votes in favor of the admissibility and 20 against. The score was a bit more balanced than the Federal Spending Amendment, which passed by 33-18. The matter wil...

Getting Used to the Unpredictable
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 15 Dec 2016

For the first time in many decades a federal minister was arrested on a bribe accusation in Russia. Although the anti-corruption campaign has been going on for quite a while, its overall imitative nature created a lasting impression that top level government officials were immune as long as they ...

Economics: Fourth O&G Tender A Big Success
MEXICO · Report · 14 Dec 2016

Last week Mexico announced the results of its fourth phase of Round One hydrocarbon field tenders, the country’s first deep water bid round. The blocks that were awarded were more attractive than the ones offered in the first three phases due to their production and profitability potential. Preci...

Politics: Peña Nieto’s Fourth-Year Scorecard
MEXICO · Report · 14 Dec 2016

According to the latest GEA-ISA poll of voters taken between November 25 and 28, the public has a clearly adverse view of the administration of President Peña as it concludes its fourth year in office. On the five major points around which his National Development Plan was structured (greater pub...

Political environment
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 13 Dec 2016

The government concluded, within the projected timeframe, the vote on the Federal Spending Amendment. The score in the first round vote (61-14) was lower than the second round (53 x 16). The eight-vote difference is due mainly to absences. Only one senator changed his vote – Dario Berger (PMDB...

A recognition of fiscal misalignment
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC · In Brief · 12 Dec 2016

On December 9, the Executive presented to the Senate a bill to modify the budget for 2016. The bill includes a request for authorization of issuance of securities for DOP 11.8 bn or USD 253 million. Of these, USD 100 million are intended to finance operations for the construction of Punta Catalin...

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