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Events
Databanks
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Argentina databank Apr 30 -
Brazil Economics databank Apr 14
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Central America databank May 1
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Chile databank Apr 7
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China databank Mar 21
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Colombia databank Apr 28
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Dominican Republic databank Apr 28
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Ecuador databank Apr 22
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Gulf Countries databank May 9
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Hungary databank Apr 22
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India databank Apr 28
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Mexico databank Mar 25
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Panama databank Jan 28
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Peru databank Apr 28
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Philippines databank May 8
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Poland databank Apr 29
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Russia Economics databank Apr 11
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South Africa databank May 6
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Turkey databank Apr 24
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Ukraine databank Mar 6
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Venezuela databank May 5
NEWS FLASH
UPCOMING WEBINAR - PANAMA IN FOCUS: US RELATIONS, CANAL STRATEGY AND FI...
COUNTRY INSIGHTS
Friend to all enemy to none
PHILIPPINES · In Brief · 11 Jan 2023
Ever since Ferdinand Marcos, Jr. came into office in July last year, his foreign affairs team has been busily working at re-centering Philippine foreign policy after the extreme pro-US then pro-China stances of the previous two administrations. In his words, President Marcos defined his foreign p...
Armenia declines to host CSTO military drills
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 10 Jan 2023
On January 10 Armenia announced that it will not host the military drills of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO). The CSTO includes Russia and 5 other nations. Prime Minister Pashinyan of Armenia publicly criticized Russia for not being more helpful to Armenia while Azerbaijani dem...
Stabilization and growth can only materialize with a new government
ARGENTINA · Forecast · 10 Jan 2023
During the last four months of 2022 the economy performed in line with the “optimistic” scenario of our forecast from August 23, 2022. There are no reasons to introduce changes to our forecast for 2023. However, to forecast the economy in 2024 it is necessary to discuss the political and institut...
Lula’s federal intervention decree was approved in the House, he met with leaders of the other branches of government to issue a statement in defense of democracy, and democratic representatives call for Jair Bolsonaro’s extradition from the US to Brazil
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 10 Jan 2023
Last night, the House approved the federal intervention decree issued by President Lula for the public safety of the Federal District (DF). Today, the decree will be put to a vote in the Senate. According to the Minister of Justice and Public Security, Flávio Dino, approximately 1,500 people were...
The ANC offers more promises during its 111th annual anniversary celebrations
SOUTH AFRICA · Report · 10 Jan 2023
Following his victory at the African National Congress (ANC) at the December 2022 Elective Conference that secured him a second term as the party’s leader, President Cyril Ramaphosa delivered the ANC’s January 8th Statement. The annual delivery of the Party’s plans for both the organization itsel...
China’s abrupt U-turns
CHINA ADVISORY · Report · 10 Jan 2023
China has done an about-face on a number of issues that signal a sudden realization that the economy continues to slow and the country’s policies are not working. China has reversed course on domestic Covid control, the property market and its former frosty approach to diplomacy; we even witnesse...
Genuine bad news on industry and merchandise trade in November
HUNGARY · In Brief · 10 Jan 2023 · 1 response
Industrial output fell by 0.7% mom, on sda basis, in November, following a 3.6% mom decrease in the previous month. This pulled the yoy expansion down to 0.7% in November, from 4.8% in October and 8.3% in Q3. November numbers are preliminary, meaning a revision in the final data is unlikely but ...
Soylu will sack Ekrem Imamoglu
TURKEY · In Brief · 10 Jan 2023 · 2 responses
After being banned from politics for a completely fabricated crime, Istanbul’s popular CHP mayor Ekrem Imamoglu is also facing the threat of being sacked from his post. While the government spokespeople are very vague on this eventuality, the entire main-stream opposition is already up in the air...
What Will the New Fiscal Framework Be?
BRAZIL ECONOMICS · Report · 09 Jan 2023
We began 2023 knowing that the approval of the proposed constitutional amendment (PEC) on the transition has made it possible to alter the spending cap by enacting a complementary law, and that the execution of the budget in 2023 will lead to a deficit of R$ 230 billion, putting the public debt b...
The agenda of the first months and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 09 Jan 2023
The National Congress will hold an extraordinary meeting in Brasília to vote on the federal intervention in the Federal District due to the invasion of public buildings. The Ministry of Finance may announce a set of fiscal and economic measures. Ministers continue to announce members of their res...
Central Asian hydropower plan
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 09 Jan 2023
On January 5 ministers from Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan signed a deal to build the Kambar-Ata 1 hydropower plant in Kyrgyzstan. Work shall commence in 2024 and completion is projected for 2028. The scheme will be the biggest hydropower plant in Kyrgyzstan and will provide the other two ...
The effects of the invasions of public buildings yesterday continue to develop, Lula will meet with Rosa Weber and governors today, and the Ministry of Finance may announce economic and fiscal measures
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 09 Jan 2023
Today, the National Congress will hold an extraordinary meeting to vote on President Lula's (PT) decree enacting a federal intervention in the Federal District (DF) until January 31. This intervention should pass easily. President Lula will meet with the President of the STF, Rosa Weber, today at...
Markets will be following fiscal policy closely
ISRAEL · Report · 09 Jan 2023
1. S&P has expressed concern regarding the political, geopolitical and fiscal policy of the new government. 2. Business sentiment remains strong, with some softening of future expectations. 3. Rapid wage growth in the business sector reflects a tight labor market; public sector wage increas...
Markets will be following fiscal policy closely
ISRAEL · In Brief · 08 Jan 2023
9.1.23 The Bond market: The S&P analyst in charge of Israel, Maxim Rybnikov, in an interview for Calcalist, expressed concern regarding the functioning of the new government and possible weakening of the judicial system. Political, geo-political and fiscal developments will be followed closely in...
Entering 2023, all buttons punched
TURKEY · Report · 08 Jan 2023 · 2 responses
President Erdogan kicked off the year with the mother of all pork-barreling drives to win elections. While his magnanimity is certain to stimulate the standings in the polls of him and his AKP-MHP alliance, the surge is very unlikely to last until the elections or alter the current equilibrium in...