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Events
Databanks
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Argentina databank Jul 11 -
Brazil Economics databank Jun 16
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Central America databank Jun 27
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Chile databank May 27
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China databank Mar 21
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Colombia databank Jul 7
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Dominican Republic databank Jun 18
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Ecuador databank Jun 20
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Gulf Countries databank Jul 11
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Hungary databank Jun 23
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India databank Jun 26
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Mexico databank Jul 1
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Panama databank May 13
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Peru databank Jun 27
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Philippines databank Jul 8
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Poland databank Apr 29
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Russia Economics databank Jul 11
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South Africa databank Jul 11
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Turkey databank Apr 24
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Ukraine databank May 12
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Venezuela databank Jul 7
NEWS FLASH
UPCOMING WEBINAR - CAUCASUS AND CENTRAL ASIA: POLITICAL PASSIONS IN THE...
COUNTRY INSIGHTS
Stronger Growth and Higher Inflation: The Central Bank’s Reaction
BRAZIL ECONOMICS · Report · 16 May 2022
Both because Brazilian growth benefits from higher international commodity prices and because the government has been using fiscal and credit stimulus policies to expand demand, economic activity began the year on the upswing. The most recent data indicate that growth in the first quarter was 1.3...
'Careful but resolute price control measures' have sent EURHUF up to 391-392
HUNGARY · In Brief · 16 May 2022
Parliament formally elected Viktor Orbán for prime minister for the fifth time today. In his introductory speech, held in the afternoon, he spoke of inflation, saying that the government and the central bank will need to cooperate to solve the problem. On the government's role, he said: 'Careful ...
SAUDI: Q1 fiscal outturn shows some signs of spending restraint despite the oil surge
GULF COUNTRIES · Report · 16 May 2022
MoF published its Q1 fiscal outturn alongside Aramco’s earnings report. The overall surplus of SR57.5bn ($15.3bn, 6.4% of budgeted GDP) is by far the strongest since the quarterly series began in 2016 and sets the basis for a strong full-year surplus. Although expenditure is generally seasonally ...
The current account strengthens in April causing an unpleasant appreciation of the ruble
RUSSIA ECONOMICS · In Brief · 16 May 2022
As the EU having imposed bans on exports to Russia, appears either quite slow or reluctant to get rid of energy imports from Russia, the latter's current account surplus widened in 4M22 to an unprecedented $95.8bn. In 1Q22, the current account surplus stood at $58.2 bn, implying that in April alo...
The third-way alliance may postpone the selection of its presidential candidate, the TCU will resume the judgment on the privatization of Eletrobras on Wednesday, and the income tax rapporteur may meet with Pacheco to discuss the proposal
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 16 May 2022
Quantitative and qualitative polls will be published on Wednesday, May 18, that will determine the selection of the presidential candidate of the third-way alliance. The group’s candidate was expected to be announced on May 18, but this could be postponed and announced at the end of the month ins...
New president of the republic inaugurated, made anti-Russia statements
HUNGARY · In Brief · 16 May 2022
On May 14, Katalin Novák, the first woman in Hungary's history to be the president of the public for five years was inaugurated, replacing János Áder, whose 5-year term had expired.It is quite rare in Hungary that anything about the president of the republic, who is elected by parliament and has ...
A solid pace of recovery in 2022 and 2023. The month of May will be an important one for local politics
PANAMA · Forecast · 16 May 2022
The economy will grow 6.4% in 2022 and 4.9% in 2023. The main drivers will be investments and exports. The former, both private and public, are expected to lead growth due to a low comparison base. The latter, in particular tourism and air transportation, will grow at a solid pace. External condi...
Inflation accelerates, supportive of steady tightening
ISRAEL · Report · 16 May 2022
1. Inflation in April accelerated to 4% y/y, and core inflation by 3.4%, in line with expectations. 2. Inflation is increasingly broad based, a factor that will support monetary tightening. 3. Economic indicators point to steady growth and a tight labor market.
Russia nationalizes Renault factory
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 16 May 2022
On May 16 the Mayor of Moscow said the French car factory had been nationalized, and the Soviet-era car the Moskvitch will be brought back. This is the first significant transfer of a private asset to the state since the Ukraine War began.Most of the 45,000 Renault factory workers and subcontract...
Inflation remains rampant
ARGENTINA · In Brief · 16 May 2022
Although April National CPI inflation of 6.0%m/m showed a mild decline compared to the surprising 6.7%m/m of Match. This moderate deceleration is to a large extent explained by seasonal factors. Annual inflation remains in an upward trend, closing in April at 58%y/y, compared to 55.1%y/y the mont...
Inflation seemingly stabilizes
RUSSIA ECONOMICS · In Brief · 16 May 2022
After some delay caused by limited number of working days in early May (due to national holidays) Rosstat reported that inflation in April reached 1.56% m-o-m and 11.67% YTD. Inflation y-o-y hit 17.83%. These figures were generally expected as consumer demand has likely started to shrink, especia...
Ukraine wins Eurovision and stalls Russia in East Ukraine
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 15 May 2022
On May 14 Ukraine won the Eurovision Song Contest. It is suspected that other countries voted for Ukraine more out of political solidarity than for musical merit. The singer said from the stage, ''Please help Ukraine and help Mariupol!'' He was referring to the Ukrainian city where hundreds of Uk...
Inflation accelerates, supportive of steady tightening
ISRAEL · In Brief · 15 May 2022
April’s CPI increased by 0.8% m/m (4.0% y/y), in line with expectations Core inflation increased by 3.4% y/y from 3% last month, is more broad- based. Accelerating inflation will support a 0.4% rate hike on May 23rd. Our current inflation forecast stands at 3% NTM.The fiscal posture continues to ...
Inflation accelerates in April
ISRAEL · In Brief · 15 May 2022
Inflation accelerates in April Inflation accelerated to 4.0% y/y in April, up from 3.5% last month. The monthly CPI increased by 0.8%, in line with consensus but below our forecast of 0.9%. Core inflation accelerated to 3.4% y/y from 3.0%. Several months ago, the BoI began to calculate “core infl...
Seething politics, shaky currency
TURKEY · Report · 15 May 2022 · 1 response
The Erdogan administration promised fairly large fiscal stimulus by July in the form of raising civil service pay and pensions. These may be signals for surprise elections in autumn, though the politics author is not yet willing to subscribe to the scenario. At the end, the fate of the shaky curr...