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COUNTRY INSIGHTS

Recovery again constrained by COVID
CHINA · Report · 25 Nov 2022

Growth is weakly recovering, with pressure ahead largely due to COVID prevention measures and related lockdowns. Although rumors have suggested that the zero-COVID policy could be abandoned, there were also signs that China would commit to this policy in the short term, citing reasons in state me...

A CPI request against the STF and TSE has been filed in the House, Lula will meet with allies in São Paulo today, and Fernando Haddad will have lunch with the Febraban today
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 25 Nov 2022

The request for the CPI, to investigate possible abuses of authority, was filed with 181 signatures, 10 more than the minimum required. The signatures have already been verified. The request is unlikely to succeed. It will be added to a list with the other CPI requests. Today, President-elect Lul...

Carrasquilla sacked from Central Bank board
COLOMBIA · In Brief · 25 Nov 2022 · 1 response

Section 5 of the State Council (one of Colombia's three high courts) declared void the appointment of Alberto Carrasquilla as board member of the Central Bank. According to the statement published to announce the decision, the appointment of Mr. Carrasquilla did not observe the share of women req...

Bi-Weekly Economic News Summary
KAZAKHSTAN · In Brief · 25 Nov 2022

Nov 11 President: Kazakhstan plans to attract $20 bln in investments for the diversification of transport routes and the development of logistics by 2025, Mr. Tokayev said at the summit of the Organization of Turkic States Nov 15 Ministry of Economy: Kazakhstan's GDP grew by 2.5% in Jan-Oct (y-o-...

Winners and losers in China’s property market
CHINA ADVISORY · Report · 25 Nov 2022

China has announced a package of stimulus measures for the property market. They are a compromise between full economic support and the previous harsh restrictions on the property developers. However, many of the measures are focused on demand, while consumers are reluctant to invest in an unstab...

The South African Reserve Bank maintains momentum as it raises interest rates by a third consecutive 75 bps
SOUTH AFRICA · Report · 25 Nov 2022

The South African Reserve Bank’s (SARB) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted to increase the benchmark interest rate by a further 75 basis points, from 6.25% to 7%, during its final meeting of the year. As a result, the prime lending rate also increased from 9.75% to 10.5%. In this report we di...

Moving slowly into recession
HUNGARY · Report · 25 Nov 2022

Preliminary GDP for Q3 was much stronger than suggested previously by the MNB’s frequently cited lead indicator. However, the economy is still moving into recession slowly, as shown by the marginally negative quarterly growth rate. Strengths in Q3 included industry and retail sales, whereas real ...

Russia bans gay propaganda among adults
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 25 Nov 2022

On November 24 the lower house of the Russian Parliament passed a law that imposes fines of thousands of USD for encouraging non-traditional sexual relationships. Encouraging such relationships among children was already outlawed. Encouraging sex changes is also now forbidden. The bill has gone t...

MPC: Done for now on easing, but more interventions to come
TURKEY · In Brief · 24 Nov 2022 · 1 response

As openly stated at its last meeting statement (link here), the CBRT/MPC reduced the policy rate to much anticipated single-digit 9% rate today, from 10.5% previously. The statement said, also as expected, the easing cycle is done for now, but left the door open for further easing down the road, ...

Russia issues passports to 80,000 in occupied Ukraine
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 24 Nov 2022

On November 24 Moscow said that it has issued Russian passports to people living in Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, Luhansk and Donetsk regions. Russia held referendums there in September 2022, and in October 2022 annexed the regions. The UN condemned this, and the international community recognizes the r...

EU Parliament labels Russia a state sponsor of terrorism
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 24 Nov 2022

On November 23 the resolution was passed, by a vote of 494-58. The vote has no legal repercussions. Hours later a cyberattack hit the Parliament and a pro-Kremlin hacker group Killnet said it was responsible. The attack forced a lot of traffic onto the site to overburden the server. The attack wa...

Kazakhstan’s budget deficit expectedly widens amid a year-end spending spree
KAZAKHSTAN · In Brief · 23 Nov 2022 · 1 response

In a short report, the Kazakh Ministry of Finance reported that in 10M22, the republican budget deficit widened to around KZT1.5 trillion from less than KZT 1.1 trillion in 9M22 as expenditures started catching up with the amended plan. In 10M2, the government spent KZT14.5 trillion, while in 9M2...

The PL filed a lawsuit at the TSE calling for the annulment of votes from almost 280,000 voting machines, the text of the Transition PEC should be finalized today, and the STF should resume analysis of the INSS “lifelong review”
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 23 Nov 2022

Yesterday, the PL filed a lawsuit at the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) asking for the annulment of the votes of 279,300 electronic voting machines due to a “malfunction” in the system. The president of the TSE, Minister Alexandre de Moraes, decided that Bolsonaro's coalition will have to present...

Russia accuses Ukraine of the murders of POWs
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 22 Nov 2022

On November 20 Russia said that 10 Russians who were captured by Ukraine were shot dead. The United Nations published a report saying both sides had tortured and mistreated Prisoners of War (POWs).Russia has shown footage of men in Russian uniform who had been shot from close range. The video als...

Soccer – our hope of last resort
ECUADOR · Report · 22 Nov 2022

The intentions of Correistas, Social Christians, and the rebels from Pachakutik to oust President Guillermo Lasso have not ended. They sent a recent new petition to the Electoral Council to revoke his mandate under the argument of a “failed state”, based on the recent cruel massacres that occurre...

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