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Events
Databanks
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Argentina databank Jul 11
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Brazil Economics databank Jun 16
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Central America databank Jun 27
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Chile databank May 27
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China databank Mar 21
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Colombia databank Jul 7
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Dominican Republic databank Jun 18
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Ecuador databank Jun 20
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Gulf Countries databank Jul 11
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Hungary databank Jun 23
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India databank Jun 26
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Mexico databank Jul 1
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Panama databank May 13
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Peru databank Jun 27
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Philippines databank Jul 8
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Poland databank Apr 29
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Russia Economics databank Jul 11
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South Africa databank Jul 11
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Turkey databank Apr 24
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Ukraine databank May 12
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Venezuela databank Jul 7
NEWS FLASH
UPCOMING WEBINAR - CAUCASUS AND CENTRAL ASIA: POLITICAL PASSIONS IN THE...
COUNTRY INSIGHTS
Despite low CPI print, 0.5% hike in July likely
ISRAEL · In Brief · 19 Jun 2022
May’s CPI came in at the low end of expectation * Inflation increased to 4.1% y/y from 4.0% in April. Core inflation rose to 3.65% y/y from 3.4%. * The main inflation surprise came from a lower-than-expected increase in clothing prices. Surprisingly, clothing prices are down 18% during the past...
Dull-ish politics, weird-ish economics
TURKEY · Report · 19 Jun 2022 · 1 response
With the onset of schools’ summer vacation and the approach of Muslims’ greatest holiday, Eid al Adha, domestic politics is expected to enter a short lull, from which it will awaken in August. We don’t expect any major developments on election timing or the nomination of a presidential candidate ...
Russian bans 121 Australians from entering the country
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 19 Jun 2022
On June 18 Moscow announced the list of politicians, journalists and military officers. They have been prohibited from entering Russia until further notice. That is because they are accused of disseminating a Russophobic agenda. Russia said that sanctions by Australia had contributed to the decis...
Is Cross Death rapidly approaching?
ECUADOR · In Brief · 18 Jun 2022
Facing the threat of Leonidas Iza, Head of Conaie, to march to Quito and the increasing violence of the protests, last night, President Lasso issued a decree to install the state of exception in three provinces, Pichincha, Imbabura and Cotopaxi. At the same time, he announced economic measures th...
British PM in Kyiv
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 18 Jun 2022
On June 17 Boris Johnson visited Ukraine. He seems to be Zelensky's favorite foreign leader. When Johnson survived a vote of confidence on June 6, Zelensky said he was elated. Johnson has reaffirmed the United Kingdom's fulsome support for Ukraine. The UK shall train 10,000 Ukrainian soldiers eve...
A gradual tightening
PHILIPPINES · In Brief · 17 Jun 2022
Following the US Fed’s large 75bp policy rate hike on Wednesday, BSP watchers are once more speculating whether the Monetary Board (MB), the policy-making body of the BSP, would take a more aggressive approach to raising its set of policy rates. Earlier, incoming BSP Governor Felipe Medalla, who ...
Arthur Lira harshly criticized Petrobras on Twitter, the discussion on whom Bolsonaro will choose as his VP continues, and only one poll is scheduled to be published next week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 17 Jun 2022
The president of the House, Arthur Lira, harshly criticized Petrobras on Twitter yesterday, saying that the Brazilian state-owned company has a social role in the country and has been acting as a friend to billionaires’ profits and an enemy of Brazil. Today, the strongest name to be Bolsonaro’s V...
EU Commission recommends candidate membership for Ukraine and Moldova
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 17 Jun 2022
On June 17 the President of the Commission made the announcement. She said that Ukrainians ''are ready to die for the European dream''. Italy, France, Germany and Romania all added their approval. Zelensky welcomed the news. The EU has never never made such a rapid recommendation for candidate st...
GULF WEEKLY: Bahrain cabinet reshuffle, rates hiked by 25-75bp, Total invests in Qatar LNG, reactions to Biden visit
GULF COUNTRIES · Report · 17 Jun 2022
A skimmable summary overlaid with our analysis and links. Headlines: * The oil market remains tight, including due to an oil port blockade in Libya. * Iran is facing a wave of social unrest, and the US tightened sanctions as nuclear talks remain stalled. * Gulf states mainly followed the Fed...
Our call for next Sunday
COLOMBIA · In Brief · 17 Jun 2022
The race remains neck to neck, which means we will have to wait until Sunday to finally know, at around 8:00 pm EST, who is the next president of Colombia.To give you something to work with and compare, we carried out an exercise simulating scenarios of how voters could move between the first rou...
Webinar Replay: Gulf Countries - Spending the oil windfall
GULF COUNTRIES · Report · 17 Jun 2022
Get insights into how the Gulf is managing this century's third oil boom differently amidst a complex geopolitical landscape. Visit our calendar page to watch the replay of our webinar featuring Justin Alexander discussing issues including the impact of OPEC+, Vision 2030, regional reconciliatio...
St Petersburg Forum: a third day and no solid news
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 17 Jun 2022
The forum opened on June 15. The cannon of the St Peter and Paul Fortress were fired in celebration by the head of the Donetsk People's Republic. The theme of the forum this year is ''new opportunities in the new world.'' Putin sent a greeting letter to all attendees. It did not allude to the war...
Kazakhstan shall observe sanctions on Russia
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 17 Jun 2022
On June 16 the President of Kazakhstan said on Russian TV that his country will abide by international sanctions on Russia. He stressed that his country is still cooperating with Moscow but Kazakhstan cannot violate sanctions because it would suffer secondary sanctions if it did. He stated that W...
A reminder from Leonidas Iza and Conaie
ECUADOR · Report · 16 Jun 2022 · 1 response
Those who thought that Leonidas Iza and the threat from CONAIE to political stability were under control were proven wrong this week by the strong and extended protests that – albeit without the severity of the 2019 riots – have already produced losses to the productive sector, mainly the flower ...
Russia: a brief market watch
RUSSIA ECONOMICS · In Brief · 16 Jun 2022
As the oil price remains high (be it Brent or discounted Urals) the ruble continued to appreciate as the West’s pressure on Russia mounts and the economy is being gradually disconnected from the global financial system, dominated by the West. Russia’s demand for FX collapsed amid restricted expor...