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Events
Databanks
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Argentina databank Nov 7 -
Brazil Economics databank Nov 15
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Central America databank Oct 31
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Chile databank Oct 23
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China databank Mar 21
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Colombia databank Nov 6
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Dominican Republic databank Nov 20
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Ecuador databank Oct 23
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Gulf Countries databank Nov 22
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Hungary databank Nov 21
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India databank Oct 30
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Mexico databank Nov 15
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Panama databank Sep 11
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Peru databank Oct 15
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Philippines databank Nov 8
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Russia Economics databank Nov 13
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South Africa databank Nov 1
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Turkey databank Sep 18
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Ukraine databank Nov 12
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Venezuela databank Nov 5
NEWS FLASH
UPCOMING WEBINAR - LATIN AMERICA IN 2025: HOW WORRIED SHOULD WE BE?...
COUNTRY INSIGHTS
Economics: Indicators for the first months of 2024 suggest a gradual yet sustained weakening of economic activity
MEXICO · Report · 20 May 2024
The first months of 2024 have witnessed a gradual but sustained weakening of economic activity that comes on top of other economic challenges, both internal and external, that will be exacerbated during 2025. On the supply side, the monthly GDP proxy IGAE showed 1.9% yoy average growth for the...
Inflation is expected to accelerate
ISRAEL · Report · 20 May 2024
1. Despite strong GDP growth in Q124, the level of activity remains significantly below potential. 2. Inflation is expected to accelerate on the back of fiscal expansion, a tight labor market and excess demand in the housing market. 3. As long as geopolitical risks remain elevated, it is di...
President Abinader re-elected in the first round.
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC · In Brief · 20 May 2024
With 59.05% of the votes counted in his favor and the recognition of his victory by his adversaries Abel Martinez and Leonel Fernández, President Luis Abinader has been reelected in the first round. So far, only 44% of the votes have been counted. The total vote obtained so far by Leonel Fernánde...
Damn the package, full speed ahead
TURKEY · Report · 19 May 2024
The post-election shakeup in Turkish politics continues at an accelerating pace, with surprising twists and turns. The current fashion is “normalization”, which obviously means different things to each protagonist, but in essence entails rapprochement between rival blocs and more cooperative deci...
With geopolitical risks elevated and inflation set to accelerate, monetary loosening will be postponed
ISRAEL · In Brief · 19 May 2024
Geopolitics: Military operations escalated both in Gaza and in the Northern border. Israel has returned to several areas in Gaza, in addition to pushing into Rafah. The missile barrage from Lebanon has become more intense. Gantz (from the opposition, who joined the military cabinet) demanded a pl...
Georgian President vetoes Foreign Agent Bill
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 19 May 2024
On May 18 Salome Zurabashvili said she was vetoing the bill because of its unconstitutionality. The Georgian Dream Party has a super majority in parliament and so could override the presidential veto. They have offered to negotiate with the president and remove the more objectionable clauses in ...
Abinader’s first-round reelection prospects strengthen
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC · Report · 17 May 2024
The latest polls in the runup to the May 19th national elections indicate that President Luis Abinader will be reelected in the first round, with at least 60% of voters polled saying they planned to vote for him. After the overwhelming victory of the official PRM party in the February 18th munic...
GULF WEEKLY: Kuwait suspends parliament, Emirates makes record profit, Moody’s hikes Bahrain deficit, UAE sends $14bn to Egypt
GULF COUNTRIES · Report · 17 May 2024 · 1 response
A skimmable summary overlaid with our analysis and links. Headlines: * OPEC has shifted its core unit of analysis in its oil market reports to OPEC+ for the first time. * Half of Rafah’s population has been displaced, and Israel’s cabinet argued over postwar planning. * UK-GCC free trade tal...
US sanctions on Russia for buying arms from North Korea
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 17 May 2024
On May 16 the announcement was made in relation to two Russian men and three companies. The United States said these entities have purchased ballistic missiles, shells and other items for use in Ukraine. Almost all of North Korea's military hardware is of Soviet design, so it is compatible with R...
An agreement has been reached on municipalities' payroll tax exemption, the Working Group on Tax Reform regulation may be installed next week, and the STF should discuss the ADI on unjustified labor dismissals
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 17 May 2024
After a meeting with Senate President Rodrigo Pacheco (PSD-MG), Minister of Finance Fernando Haddad and Minister of Institutional Relations Alexandre Padilha announced an agreement on the payroll tax exemption for municipalities. It was agreed that the exemption for municipalities will be applie...
Slide Presentation: Colombia - A turbulent year
COLOMBIA · Report · 17 May 2024 · 3 responses
Gain insight into the current challenges facing Colombia as we discuss the prospects for rate cuts, health care and pension reform, and the fiscal situation in our slide presentation "Colombia - A turbulent year".
Balance of payments remained stable in 4M24
RUSSIA ECONOMICS · In Brief · 17 May 2024
The CBR reported that the 4M24 current account surplus climbed to $31.7 bln after it reached $6.6 bln in April alone. As the statistical data for the previous month, published earlier, were revised upward, the surplus appeared a bit wider than expected. Overall, the 4M24 current account surplus e...
Kazakh economy slows in April
KAZAKHSTAN · In Brief · 17 May 2024
The Bureau of National Statistics reported that the short-term indicator that measures monthly economic activity and aggregates monthly trends in the industry, agriculture, construction, transportation, trade, and IT/communications was up by 3.9% y-o-y in 4M24. As in January, 2M24, and 1Q24, it g...
Putin in China
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 16 May 2024
On May 16 he landed in Beijing and met his Chinese opposite number. This is a state visit: the supreme expression of cordial relations between sovereign states. It is Putin's first trip abroad since his re-election in March 2024. It signifies the importance he attaches to relations with China. Th...
Brief 3: Mulino´s economic team is taking shape with today´s announcement.
PANAMA · In Brief · 16 May 2024
The Minister of Environment (Medio Ambiente) is Juan Carlos Navarro. Although under a different scenario this Ministry would be operating outside the traditional realm of the economic team, the current circumstance is unique due to the issue of Minera Panama (First Quantum). Mulino's position on ...