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Events
Databanks
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Argentina databank Nov 7
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Brazil Economics databank Nov 15
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Central America databank Oct 31
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Chile databank Oct 23
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China databank Mar 21
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Colombia databank Nov 6
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Dominican Republic databank Nov 20
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Ecuador databank Oct 23
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Gulf Countries databank Nov 22
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Hungary databank Nov 21
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India databank Oct 30
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Mexico databank Nov 15
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Panama databank Sep 11
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Peru databank Oct 15
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Philippines databank Nov 8
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Russia Economics databank Nov 13
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South Africa databank Nov 1
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Turkey databank Sep 18
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Ukraine databank Nov 12
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Venezuela databank Nov 5
NEWS FLASH
UPCOMING WEBINAR - LATIN AMERICA IN 2025: HOW WORRIED SHOULD WE BE?...
COUNTRY INSIGHTS
The disagreements between Lira and the government have increased, the session of Congress to review presidential vetoes was postponed to next week, and the vote on the privatization of Sabesp should take place today
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 17 Apr 2024
The disagreements between Arthur Lira (PP-AL) and the government have increased. Yesterday, the government dismissed Wilson César de Lira Santos, Lira's cousin, from the position of Regional Superintendent of Incra in Alagoas. Last week, Lira called the Minister of Institutional Relations, Alexan...
Bi-Weekly Economic News Summary
KAZAKHSTAN · In Brief · 17 Apr 2024
Apr 4 Sinopec: The Chinese company Sinopec has officially become a co-founder of Silleno LLP, which is involved in the construction of a polyethylene plant in Kazakhstan. Apr 6 President: Mr. Tokayev described the current floods as the biggest disaster in the past 80 years, both in terms of scale...
Economy grows steadily in March, albeit with some moderation
KAZAKHSTAN · In Brief · 17 Apr 2024
According to the Bureau of National Statistics, the short-term indicator (a sort of a monthly proxy for GDP) grew y-o-y by 4.7% and 4.1% in 1Q24 and March. General trends remained the same, i.e., economic growth remained uneven by sectors. Industrial output increased over the same time frames by ...
On the road to normality? Growth nears potential and inflation is under control, but currency depreciation and interest rates are high
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC · Forecast · 16 Apr 2024
Q1 2024 ends with some signs that the Dominican economy is on its way to achieving trend values for key economic variables, such as growth and inflation. In January-February the average interannual growth of economic activity was 5.4%, close to potential growth, and inflation in Q1 was 3.33% y/y,...
Floods threaten Russian cities
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 16 Apr 2024
Flooding has gotten worse in Russia and Kazakhstan in mid April. An unusually early and warm spring caused snow and ice to melt abruptly. The premature and sudden thaw means that rivers have burst their banks. Heavy rains have aggravated the situation. The Ishim River, which flows from Kazakhstan...
The government submitted the Budget guidelines bill, the regulation of Tax Reform has been postponed to April 22, and Pacheco said the complementary law on state debt will be submitted this month
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 16 Apr 2024
The government sent the Budget guidelines bill to the National Congress yesterday, which includes the parameters of the 2025 Federal Budget. The fiscal target for next year was reduced from 0.5% to 0% of GDP. Yesterday, the Minister of Finance, Fernando Haddad, confirmed that the regulation of Ta...
Boluarte government weakened further; economic recovery takes off in Q1 2024; BCRP’s 25bp cut surprises markets
PERU · Report · 16 Apr 2024
In this report we discuss recent political developments, with a focus on President Dina Boluarte; using high-frequency economic reports, we present our updated forecast, and argue that the economy rebounded in Q1 2024; and discuss the BCRP Board’s decision to cut rates by 25bp, surprising both ma...
Economics: US industry’s stalling trend and the super peso continue to undercut Mexico's manufacturing
MEXICO · Report · 16 Apr 2024
Last week’s industrial activity report for February confirmed a continuation of its slowing trend. The construction sector remained almost the only source of growth but its pace slowed to a rate well below the average of the previous nine months. US industrial production’s stalling trend dati...
Difficulties in the legislature and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 15 Apr 2024
The government submits the Budget Guidelines Bill and proposals for regulating Tax Reform to Congress. Negotiations continue around payroll tax relief for companies and municipalities, in addition to Perse (the events sector program). Rodrigo Pacheco meets with governors to discuss state debt. ...
Uzbekistan represses Islamists
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 15 Apr 2024
In April 2024 the Uzbek government responded to the March 2024 Crocus City Hall attacks in Moscow by ramping up police action against those suspected of religious extremism and terrorism. The police have searched the residences of suspects. The public have been told not to put their children into...
Inflation in the United States and Interest Rates in Brazil
BRAZIL ECONOMICS · Report · 15 Apr 2024
Inflation in the United States has been more persistent than expected according to CPI data disclosed last week, which indicated a continued acceleration trend, especially in core measures. The worsening of the underlying measures of US inflation has occurred against a backdrop of heated economic...
Tax collections and weak demand held March inflation steady
VENEZUELA · Report · 15 Apr 2024
Inflation held steady at 1.2 percent in March. While, starting in the third week of March, bolivar depreciation against the dollar and a transportation fare hike pushed up on inflation, and monetary expansion caused by domestic public outlays expanded by 21 percent compared with 9 percent in Febr...
Inflation in March slightly above expectations, but core remains low
ISRAEL · In Brief · 15 Apr 2024
Inflation in March slightly above expectations Inflation in March (0.6% m/m 2.7% y/y, following 2.5% last month) was slightly above expectations of 0.5% on average. Core inflation inched up to 2.3% y/y from 2.2% last month but this is due to higher taxation on cigarettes contributing 0.1% to the ...
Pacheco meets with governors to discuss state debt, the government is considering changing the fiscal target for 2025, and the House will continue to analyze important bills this week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 15 Apr 2024
Senate President Rodrigo Pacheco and the governors who are requesting the restructuring of their debts with the federal government will discuss the general lines of a complementary bill to regularize state debt. The fiscal target for this year is 0% of GDP. For 2025, the government had defined a ...
What could happen if GL 44 expires on April 18?
VENEZUELA · Report · 15 Apr 2024
The possible expiration of General License 44 (GL 44) generates uncertainty. Venezuela's oil production and exports have been increasing since 2022 under licenses 41 and 44 . Both allow selling oil in Venezuela's natural markets (the US and Europe) at better prices, with more efficient collectio...