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Events
Databanks
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Argentina databank May 13 -
Brazil Economics databank Apr 14
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Central America databank May 1
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Chile databank Apr 7
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China databank Mar 21
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Colombia databank May 12
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Dominican Republic databank Apr 28
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Ecuador databank Apr 22
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Gulf Countries databank May 16
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Hungary databank Apr 22
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India databank Apr 28
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Mexico databank May 12
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Panama databank May 13
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Peru databank Apr 28
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Philippines databank May 8
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Poland databank Apr 29
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Russia Economics databank May 12
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South Africa databank May 6
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Turkey databank Apr 24
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Ukraine databank May 12
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Venezuela databank May 5
NEWS FLASH
WEBINAR - LATIN AMERICA: FISCAL PRESSURES AND POLITICAL SHIFTS...
COUNTRY INSIGHTS
Senators discuss the ICMS issue, Congress will analyze presidential vetoes next week, and federal police officers will march for a salary raise
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 27 May 2022
Some senators, for example, Senator Eduardo Braga, believe a portion of the dividends that Petrobras pays to the federal government should be used to create a subsidy for truck drivers and taxi drivers. President Jair Bolsonaro criticized a measure included in PLP 18 that mandates the federal gov...
The Two Speeds
VENEZUELA · Report · 27 May 2022
Venezuela’s political conflict is playing out in two different scenarios at two different speeds. Onstage, both the Maduro government and the opposition archipelago are preparing for a long electoral campaign ahead of the 2024 presidential elections. Behind the scenes, pressure is accelerating to...
Kazakhstan: Bi-Weekly Economic News Summary
KAZAKHSTAN · In Brief · 27 May 2022
May 13 Ministry of Agriculture: Kazakhstan introduces a ban on the export of sugar for six months May 16 Bureau of National Statistics: Kazakhstan’s foreign trade balance reached $9.6 bln in 1Q22 (+$6.3 bln y-o-y) Bureau of National Statistics: Agricultural production reached KZT974.3 bln in Jan-...
Kyrgyzstan cancels USD 3.2 billion fine against Canadian company
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 26 May 2022
On May 24 a court made the ruling. Centerra Gold was the company that had been fined for breaking environmental law. The company ran Kumtor Gold Mine. The scale of the fine was staggering in a poor country of 5 million people. USD 3 billion would be a large chunk of the country's GDP. Kyrgyzstan ...
Moldova's former pro Russian president arrested
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 26 May 2022
Igor Dodon is in detention pursuant to a treason and anti-corruption investigation. Moldova said the arrest is unrelated to the Ukraine War. The current Moldovan Government has vowed to battle peculation and oligarchs. The government is seeking the extradition of several Moldovan millionaires abr...
A really big fiscal adjustment, Robin-Hood-type of extraordinary taxes, populist-sounding communication and a much weaker forint
HUNGARY · In Brief · 26 May 2022
It took only a few minutes after the release of our monthly report yesterday that PM Orbán announced a series of new extraordinary taxes, imposed on sectors that, according to the judgement of the government of Hungary, make ’extra profits’. These are: banking, insurance, large-scale wholesale/re...
CBR cut the key rate by 300 bps, and Minfin is likely to resume borrowing
RUSSIA ECONOMICS · In Brief · 26 May 2022
Today, at the extraordinary BoD meeting, CBR decided to cut the key rate by 300 bps to 11%. As we wrote yesterday, this move was anticipated amid rapidly decelerating inflation and slowing consumer lending. Moreover, a further cut in June is also likely. This step will inevitably push down intere...
The analysis of Caio Paes de Andrades’s appointment at Petrobras will take longer than expected, the House approved the bill that establishes an ICMS tax limit on key items, and Senator Simone Tebet said she is against the privatization of Petrobras
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 26 May 2022
Petrobras’s Board of Directors determined that Caio Paes de Andrade's appointment will be submitted to the internal governance process, that is, it will have to be analyzed by the Petrobras People's Committee. The councilors also asked the government to send the other candidates to occupy seats o...
CBRT stays put, fibs more, prays to Gods for a miracle
TURKEY · In Brief · 26 May 2022 · 1 response
Just gonna stand there And watch me burn But that's alright Because I like The way it hurts Just gonna stand there And hear me cry But that's alright Because I love The way you lie I love the way you lie (The author prefers Rihanna cover) CBRT kept its policy rate at 14%, and didn’t announce any ...
Kazakhstan and Russia slide presentation: The divergence - Kazakhstan's growth and Russia's transition
KAZAKHSTAN · Report · 26 May 2022
Access the pdf file of the presentation from the GlobalSource Partners' webinar "The divergence - Kazakhstan's growth and Russia's transition", which details how Kazakhstan will continue to evolve toward greater openness and cooperation with various countries as the Russian authorities have nothi...
Marcos's economic team (2)
PHILIPPINES · In Brief · 25 May 2022
In our update on President-elect Marcos's cabinet choices yesterday, we wondered who will replace soon to be Finance Secretary Benjamin Diokno as BSP Governor. The answer is, Dr. Felipe Medalla, a member of the Monetary Board, who will serve until June next year. Like Messrs Diokno and Balisacan,...
Ukraine demands Russia withdrawals before talks
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 25 May 2022
On May 24 Zelensky said that the war situation is very challenging. However, he said he will only negotiate with Moscow if Russia pulls out of Ukraine. The Russian Parliament passed a law that said there is no upper age limit for those signing up to the military. The aim is for older recruits to ...
CBR to cut the key aggressively as the ruble looks too strong and inflation slows
RUSSIA ECONOMICS · In Brief · 25 May 2022
Rosstat reported deflation of 0.02% in seven days ending on May 20 so that the MTD inflation reached 0.13% only and turned well below all expectations. The YTD inflation reached 11.82% on the same date. The CBT reported that interest rates on short-term consumer loans (up to 1Y maturity) jumped t...
Oil embargo against Russia: a crucially important battle within the EU
HUNGARY · Report · 25 May 2022
Nearly two months after the election and three months into the war in Ukraine, none of the previously existing risks and uncertainties have been removed, and some problems even seem to have intensified. There is no new development on the now officially ongoing rule-of-law procedure against Hungar...
Yuan may remain in the 6.7-7 zone
CHINA · Report · 25 May 2022
The Shanghai lockdown is dragging down all the major growth indicators. In April, industrial output fell -2.9% y/y, and its growth rate in January-April decreased to 4% y/y, down 7.9 pps, and 2.5 pps from March. Industrial output in Shanghai and Northeastern China, major lockdown areas, was parti...