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Events
Databanks
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Argentina databank Apr 15 -
Brazil Economics databank Apr 14
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Central America databank Mar 31
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Chile databank Apr 7
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China databank Mar 21
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Colombia databank Mar 5
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Dominican Republic databank Mar 20
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Ecuador databank Mar 21
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Gulf Countries databank Apr 17
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Hungary databank Mar 21
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India databank Mar 24
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Mexico databank Mar 25
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Panama databank Jan 28
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Peru databank Mar 5
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Philippines databank Apr 8
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Poland databank Feb 26
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Russia Economics databank Apr 11
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South Africa databank Apr 7
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Turkey databank Dec 24
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Ukraine databank Mar 6
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Venezuela databank Feb 4
NEWS FLASH
UPCOMING WEBINAR: CHINA’S OUTLOOK IN THE TIME OF TRADE WARS...
COUNTRY INSIGHTS
Trump to announce reciprocal tariffs impacting Brazilian exports, opposition in the House threatens to obstruct the trade bill until the amnesty bill is addressed, and tax reform advances
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 02 Apr 2025
The whole world is waiting for Donald Trump's announcement on reciprocal tariffs. The day is being called the "Day of Liberation," with tariffs of 25% on all imported cars and "reciprocal" tariffs country by country—which could affect Brazilian products exported to the U.S. such as ethanol. Yeste...
Mexico Macro Monitor: The Global Indicator of Economic Activity recorded zero annual growth in January
MEXICO · In Brief · 01 Apr 2025
The Global Indicator of Economic Activity recorded zero annual growth in January and a -0.2% monthly decline with seasonally adjusted figures The Global Indicator of Economic Activity (IGAE) showed no annual growth in January 2025, following declines in October and December of the previous year a...
Central Bank maintains monetary policy rate unchanged
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC · In Brief · 01 Apr 2025
For the fourth consecutive month, the Central Bank of the Dominican Republic (BCRD) will keep the monetary policy rate unchanged as of January 2025. In April 2025, the policy rate will remain at 5.75% per year. Similarly, the interest rate on the permanent liquidity expansion facility (1-day repo...
Mexico Macro Monitor: In February the fiscal deficit dropped sharply, however it is unlikely the annual target will be met
MEXICO · In Brief · 01 Apr 2025
By February 2025, public finances strengthened. Total revenues rose by 4.8% in real annual terms (driven by a 10.1% increase in tax revenues), while spending saw an exceptional decline of 17%. This sharply reduced the fiscal deficit, measured by the broad Public Sector Borrowing Requirements (PSB...
Mexico Macro Monitor: Banxico prioritizes support for economic slowdown vs. controlling inflation
MEXICO · In Brief · 01 Apr 2025
Banxico (Mexico's Central Bank) decided to lower its target interest rate to 9%. This confirms that the central concern of the Governing Board is that the ex-ante real interest rate remains too high, and it appears to prioritize economic recovery over inflation control—the latter being its primar...
Lula intensifies political negotiations and prepares a cabinet reshuffle, the Lower House debates the amnesty bill amid political polarization, and the Senate advances tax reform and a trade reciprocity agenda
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 01 Apr 2025
President Lula returned last weekend from a trip to Japan. He traveled with several members of Congress, including Speaker of the House Hugo Motta (Republicanos-PB) and Senate President Davi Alcolumbre (União-AP). Lula pledged to improve relations with Congress by holding more meetings with poli...
Essential CIS Politics: April 2025
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 01 Apr 2025
- Trump threatens with 25-50 per cent oil tariffs on Moscow if a ceasefire agreement is not reached. - Moscow shows signs of rapprochement to new HTS authorities in Damascus. - Trump wants right of first offer regarding projects to develop Ukraine’s resources. - Russia forc...
Sanctions tighten rapidly
VENEZUELA · Report · 01 Apr 2025
Over the last few days, news regarding the Trump administration's sanctions on Venezuelan oil has pointed to an unprecedented tightening of the sanctions framework, which will substantially impact the country's oil revenues. The revocation of licenses and comfort letters, the March 24 Executiv...
Politics: Mexico’s police forces are ill-equipped to deal with heightened public insecurity
MEXICO · Report · 31 Mar 2025
Public insecurity is on the rise in Mexico. The latest national victimization survey indicates a 17% increase in crimes in 2023. The three most frequent crimes are fraud, robbery and assaults on public transportation or on the street, and extortion. The vast majority of these crimes, about 90%, g...
Israeli geopolitics: Trump, Tehran, and turmoil at home—Israel faces regional threats and political unrest
ISRAEL · Report · 31 Mar 2025 · 1 response
Key takeaways from this report: - A potential end to the Ukraine war under Trump’s mediation might allow Russia to redirect its focus back to the Middle East, causing destabilization from Israel’s perspective. - American-Iranian negotiations may ease direct confrontation but might agi...
Another minister with an impossible job
COLOMBIA · Report · 31 Mar 2025
The first impression one gets from the latest economic activity results is that Colombia did not take advantage of an enormous opportunity offered by international markets and economic conditions. Oil and coal prices were high over the last two years, as was demand, and 2024 economic growth in th...
Slide Presentation - Ecuador Runoff: Shifting votes and the road ahead
ECUADOR · Report · 31 Mar 2025
Get insight into the Ecuadorian presidential debate and its implications for Ecuador with the slide presentation from our webinar, "Ecuador Runoff: Shifting votes and the road ahead".
Economics: Amid shifting tariff threats, and cautious investors and consumers, indicators confirm a weakening cycle
MEXICO · Report · 31 Mar 2025
Indicators released in March confirmed that Mexico’s economy continues to stall. GDP decelerated to half a percentage point in the fourth quarter of 2024 under the weight of a sharp drop in investment and a further slowing of private consumption, as consumers grow more cautious and pessimistic ab...
Mixed prospects
CENTRAL AMERICA · Presentation · 31 Mar 2025
Guatemala posted solid economic growth in 2024, with GDP rising 3.7%, supported by strong remittances, resilient domestic demand and improving investor confidence under the new administration. Inflation fell to 1.7%, reserves hit a record high and the fiscal deficit narrowed to 1% of GDP. While m...
Why Bolsonaro is not yet defeated and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 31 Mar 2025
Lower House Speaker Hugo Motta is meeting with party leaders to discuss the amnesty bill for those involved in the anti-democratic acts of January 8. Motta may also announce the rapporteur for the bill on income tax reform. Senator Eduardo Braga (MDB-AM) may present a timetable for PLP 108/24, wh...