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Events
Databanks
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Argentina databank Nov 7
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Brazil Economics databank Nov 15
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Central America databank Nov 27
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Chile databank Oct 23
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China databank Mar 21
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Colombia databank Nov 6
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Dominican Republic databank Nov 20
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Ecuador databank Oct 23
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Gulf Countries databank Nov 22
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Hungary databank Nov 21
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India databank Nov 26
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Mexico databank Nov 15
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Panama databank Sep 11
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Peru databank Oct 15
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Philippines databank Nov 8
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Russia Economics databank Nov 13
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South Africa databank Nov 1
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Turkey databank Sep 18
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Ukraine databank Nov 12
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Venezuela databank Nov 5
NEWS FLASH
UPCOMING WEBINAR - LATIN AMERICA IN 2025: HOW WORRIED SHOULD WE BE?...
COUNTRY INSIGHTS
Lula will have a meeting to discuss the return of federal taxes on gasoline and alcohol, tomorrow he is expected to make changes to the Bolsa Família program, and Congress should select the heads of the permanent committees
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 27 Feb 2023
At 10 a.m. today, President Lula will meet with Chief of Staff Rui Costa, Finance Minister Fernando Haddad and the President of Petrobras, Jean Paul Prates. The topic of the meeting is the return of federal taxes on gasoline and alcohol. On Tuesday, February 28, President Lula (PT) is expected t...
A Jamaican miracle
JAMAICA / BAHAMAS · Report · 27 Feb 2023
A little over two weeks ago, on Friday, February 10, the editor of the Financial Times (FT) Alphaville blog, Robin Wigglesworth, describing Jamaica’s economic turnaround, said “This is as close to a miracle as you are ever likely to see.” His comments were based on the press release on the IMF...
Monetary Council tomorrow, Moody's rating review on Friday
HUNGARY · In Brief · 27 Feb 2023
The Monetary Council is set to hold its regular monthly rate-setting meeting tomorrow (February 28). There is once again broad analyst consensus, which we share, that no interest rate move is likely on this occasion. Although analysts seem to believe that CPI-inflation peaked in January, there wo...
Shekel weakness likely to continue without a reasonable compromise regarding the judicial measures
ISRAEL · In Brief · 26 Feb 2023
Israeli macro highlights 27/2/23 The main issue impacting markets recently has been the judicial measures pushing forward in the Israeli Knesset. Part of these reforms were voted upon last week (1st vote out of three) and further progress on this legislation is expected this week. So far, no real...
Putin says that NATO is participating in the conflict
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 26 Feb 2023
On February 23 the Russian President spoke on TV and said that NATO countries have entered the conflict inasmuch as they have provided USD 10s of billions of arms to Ukraine. He accused NATO of plotting to split Russia up into several different countries. He accused them of abetting Ukrainian war...
The only clarity is there is no clarity
TURKEY · Report · 26 Feb 2023 · 1 response
The earthquake triggered a whole new conversation in politics and created a new political landscape, on which the politics author takes up two issues. The first is the timing of the elections. A majority of news articles now suggest that President Erdogan doesn’t intend to delay elections beyond ...
China calls for peace talks over Ukraine
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 25 Feb 2023
On February 24 China urged Ukraine and Russia to negotiate an end to the war. NATO countries dismissed this and said that China is too sympathetic to Russia. China published a 12-point plan. The Chinese statement also said that it is totally against the use of nuclear arms. China denies American ...
GULF WEEKLY: Oman hosts Assad and permits Israeli overflights, Qatar moots bond issuance, GCC deals in Egypt stall
GULF COUNTRIES · Report · 24 Feb 2023
A skimmable summary overlaid with our analysis and links. Headlines: * Oman opened its airspace to Israel, and the UAE withdrew a UN resolution criticizing settlements. * Assad visited Oman, and Saudi Arabia is re-evaluating its stance on isolating Syria. * PIF’s acquisition of Egypt’s Unite...
Chile signs on to TPP11
CHILE · In Brief · 24 Feb 2023
In the 1990s and 2000s, signing free trade agreements became almost routine for Chile. But when Chile’s adhesion to the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP, or TPP11) finally became official this week, it was a big deal. One of the slogans of Chile’s 2019 ...
Lula will meet with Jean Paul Prates today, the president of the PT criticized the Central Bank again, and next week the chairs of the permanent committees of Congress should be finalized
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 24 Feb 2023 · 1 response
President Lula’s meeting with Petrobras President Jean Paul Prates was postponed from yesterday to today. One of the topics is the PIS and Cofins tax exemption on gasoline, which ends on February 28. Yesterday, PT President Deputy Gleisi Hoffmann (PR) once again criticized the Central Bank on Twi...
The first year of the war
UKRAINE · In Brief · 24 Feb 2023
A year ago, we woke up to a new reality. It was a day when all Ukrainians had to start anew, reevaluating themselves and their surroundings. However, it was also a day that put everything in its place. All the previously complex issues became simple and clear with just one click. The Russian lead...
Energy import prices look much lower than expected for now
HUNGARY · Report · 23 Feb 2023
In our latest forecast, released last month, we predicted rising energy import prices, as the weather is getting back to its normal seasonal track after the unusual warm weather recorded this winter. Indeed, winter is approaching its end, and the weather is not that exceptionally warm anymore in ...
External Accounts – The Bright Spot of the Brazilian Economy
BRAZIL ECONOMICS · Report · 23 Feb 2023
The environment is fraught with uncertainties, but in these turbulent waters, the outlook for the external account remains favorable. Although in 2022 the country’s balance of payments was in the red by US$ 7.3 billion (versus a surplus of US$ 14 billion in 2021), the trade balance was positive a...
The cost of the war to Russia one year on
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 23 Feb 2023
In February 2022 about 190,000 Russians invaded Ukraine. Later mobilizations and Wagner fighters often recruited from prisons boosted these numbers. Western officials have estimated 180,000 Russian and 100,000 Ukrainian military casualties. Russia gave its death toll as 6,000 in September 2022. O...
MPC responds to the EQ, says it's one-off
TURKEY · Report · 23 Feb 2023
The CBRT/MPC cut the policy rate by 50 bps to 8.5%, exercising somewhat of a restraint, compared with expectations of 100, in some cases 200 bps reduction -- and our admittedly somewhat loosely formulated, “we would not be surprised if the Bank reduced the policy rate by another 100 bps or so”. ...